Time-varying transmission dynamics of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia in China
Tao Liu, Jianxiong Hu, Jianpeng Xiao, Guanhao He, Min Kang, Zuhua Rong, Lifeng Lin, Haojie Zhong, Qiong Huang, Aiping Deng, Weilin Zeng, Xiaohua Tan, Siqing Zeng, Zhihua Zhu, Jiansen Li, , Wenjun Ma
Nationwide data to 7 February 2020 give R0 4.5 and 2.4-day doubling, faster on both counts than SARS, with Rt falling from 8.8 to 1.59 after mid-January.
bioRxiv · Jan 25, 2020 · PreprintSystems Biology✦ In-depth digest