Hidden grassland productivity from overlooked herbivore impacts

Abstract

Grasslands cover approximately 40% of Earth's land surface and contribute substantially to terrestrial primary production. Despite widespread grazing, field estimates of grassland aboveground net primary productivity commonly overlook two grazing-related processes: biomass consumed by herbivores and post-grazing compensatory growth. The magnitude and direction of the resulting biases remain unclear. Here we quantified these biases using a 3-year yak grazing experiment on the Tibetan Plateau, a meta-analysis of 152 grazing experiments across China, and a global synthesis of 212 paired observations from 58 studies. Overlooking biomass consumed by herbivores consistently underestimated productivity by 34-51%. By contrast, overlooking grazing-induced compensation generated smaller but more variable biases, ranging from 29% underestimation to 19% overestimation, mainly reflecting contrasting compensatory responses under rotational versus continuous grazing. These findings show that overlooking grazing-mediated processes introduces substantial, process-dependent biases in grassland productivity estimates, underscoring the need to incorporate these processes into ecosystem and climate assessments.