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bioRxivNeurosciencePreprint

Predicting the future with multi-scale successor representations

Ida MomennejadiD, Marc W. HowardiD

PDFDOI

Abstract

The successor representation (SR) is a candidate principle for generalization in reinforcement learning, computational accounts of memory, and the structure of neural representations in the hippocampus. Given a sequence of states, the SR learns a predictive representation for every given state that encodes how often, on average, each upcoming state is expected to be visited, even if it is multiple steps ahead. A discount or scale parameter determines how many steps into the future SR's generalizations reach, enabling rapid value computation, subgoal discovery, and flexible decision-making in large trees. However, SR with a single scale could discard information for predicting both the sequential order of and the distance between states, which are common problems in navigation for animals and artificial agents. Here we propose a solution: an ensemble of SRs with multiple scales. We show that the derivative of multi-scale SR can reconstruct both the sequence of expected future states and estimate distance to goal. This derivative can be computed linearly: we show that a multi-scale SR ensemble is the Laplace transform of future states, and the inverse of this Laplace transform is a biologically plausible linear estimation of the derivative. Multi-scale SR and its derivative could lead to a common principle for how the medial temporal lobe supports both map-based and vector-based navigation.

Abstract summary

Claude Opus 5.5 · xhigh effort · 18 Oct 2026 · from the abstract · CC BY-ND 4.0

Running successor representations at several discount scales, then taking their derivative through an inverse Laplace transform, is proposed to recover upcoming state order and distance to goal.

A successor representation with a single discount scale averages over the future and can lose both the order of upcoming states and how far away they are, which matters for navigation in animals and artificial agents. An ensemble spanning multiple scales is proposed to restore both, with a decoding step that is linear and therefore plausible for neural circuits.

Key results

  1. ClaimedThe derivative of a multi-scale ensemble of successor representations is claimed to reconstruct the sequence of expected future states and to estimate distance to a goal, information that a single-scale successor representation could discard.

    Presented as the paper's proposal; the abstract reports no simulation results, error measures or task benchmarks supporting the reconstruction. · Abstract

  2. ClaimedThe multi-scale ensemble is identified as the Laplace transform of future states, so the inverse transform gives a linear and biologically plausible estimate of the derivative.

    Stated as an analytical correspondence; no derivation, approximation error or circuit implementation is given in the abstract. · Abstract

  3. ClaimedThe scheme is put forward as a single principle by which the medial temporal lobe could support both map-based and vector-based navigation.

    Offered as a possibility by the authors; no neural recordings, lesion data or model-to-data comparison are mentioned. · Abstract

Methods, data and reproducibility

Theoretical work: an ensemble of successor representations learned with different discount (scale) parameters is treated as the Laplace transform of the sequence of future states, and the inverse transform is used as a linear estimator of the derivative over those states.

Methods & tools
successor representation (SR), Laplace transform
Reproducibility gaps
No repository or data statement appears in the abstract.
Limitations (2)
  • The available text reports no simulations, agent benchmarks, behavioural data or neural recordings; the argument is analytical throughout. · noted in this summary
  • The link to medial temporal lobe navigation is offered as a possibility, with no test of whether a multi-scale code of this form is present in recordings. · noted in this summary

Read this if you build predictive-map or hippocampal models and want a representation that keeps temporal order and goal distance instead of one discount horizon.

Citations
56

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