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Abstract

Despite the great success of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in identifying genetic loci significantly associated with diseases, the vast majority of causal variants underlying disease-associated loci have not been identified1-3. To create an atlas of causal variants, we performed and integrated fine-mapping across 148 complex traits in three large-scale biobanks (BioBank Japan4,5, FinnGen6, and UK Biobank7,8; total n = 811,261), resulting in 4,518 variant-trait pairs with high posterior probability (> 0.9) of causality. Of these, we found 285 high-confidence variant-trait pairs replicated across multiple populations, and we characterized multiple contributors to the surprising lack of overlap among fine-mapping results from different biobanks. By studying the bottlenecked Finnish and Japanese populations, we identified 21 and 26 putative causal coding variants with extreme allele frequency enrichment (> 10-fold) in these two populations, respectively. Aggregating data across populations enabled identification of 1,492 unique fine-mapped coding variants and 176 genes in which multiple independent coding variants influence the same trait (i.e., with an allelic series of coding variants). Our results demonstrate that fine-mapping in diverse populations enables novel insights into the biology of complex traits by pinpointing high-confidence causal variants for further characterization.

Abstract summary

Claude Opus 5.5 · xhigh effort · 18 Oct 2026 · from the abstract · CC BY-NC 4.0

Fine-mapping 148 complex traits in three biobanks with combined n = 811,261 yields 4,518 causal variant-trait pairs, 285 of them repeating in more than one population.

GWAS has named thousands of disease-associated loci, yet for most of them the underlying causal variant is still unknown. Running and merging fine-mapping across three biobanks of different ancestries builds an atlas of high-probability causal variants, and lets the authors ask why results from separate biobanks agree so little.

Key results

  1. ShownAn integrated fine-mapping atlas assigns high posterior causality to thousands of variant-trait pairs, a small fraction of which are recovered in more than one population.

    4,518 variant-trait pairs passed a posterior probability of causality > 0.9 across 148 complex traits in BioBank Japan, FinnGen and UK Biobank (total n = 811,261); 285 of those pairs were high-confidence in multiple populations, and the authors describe several causes of the limited overlap between biobanks. · Abstract

  2. ShownThe bottlenecked Finnish and Japanese populations each contribute a set of candidate causal coding variants that are far commoner there than elsewhere, the kind of signal a single-ancestry study would miss.

    21 putative causal coding variants in one of these populations and 26 in the other showed allele frequency enrichment > 10-fold; the abstract does not say which genes or traits they affect. · Abstract

  3. ShownPooling across the biobanks produces a large set of fine-mapped coding variants and identifies genes carrying several independent coding variants that act on the same trait, forming allelic series.

    1,492 unique fine-mapped coding variants and 176 genes with an allelic series of coding variants were obtained by aggregating data across populations. · Abstract

Methods, data and reproducibility

Statistical fine-mapping was performed and then integrated across 148 complex traits in three large biobanks of differing ancestry, retaining variant-trait pairs whose posterior probability of causality exceeded 0.9. Results were compared between biobanks and populations, with separate attention to coding variants enriched in bottlenecked populations and to genes carrying allelic series.

  • complex trait GWAS fine-mapped across 148 traits in three biobanks · human · n = total n = 811,261
  • BioBank Japan · human
  • FinnGen · human
  • UK Biobank · human
Methods & tools
BioBank Japan, FinnGen, UK Biobank
Limitations (3)
  • Fine-mapping results from the three biobanks overlapped much less than expected; the authors report characterising several contributors to this, but the abstract does not say what they are. · stated by the authors
  • Per-biobank sample sizes and trait overlap are not given, so it is unclear how much each cohort contributes to the 4,518 pairs or to the cross-population replication. · noted in this summary
  • Causality is statistical throughout: variants are high-posterior or putative, with no experimental or functional validation reported here. · noted in this summary

Read this if you prioritise causal variants under GWAS loci, work with FinnGen, UK Biobank or BioBank Japan, or want allelic series of coding variants for target selection.

Citations
100

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