Genomic Prediction Enables Same-Season Selection for Reduced Glycosidic Nitrile in Eastern U.S. Winter Barley

Abstract

Glycosidic nitriles (GN) in barley are precursors to carcinogens formed during distillation, making GN reduction a critical breeding objective for malting and distilling industries. Measurement of GN is time-consuming. Grain must first be malted before GN can be quantified, and generally cannot be completed before selections must be made in a winter barley breeding program. Here, feasibility of same-season genomic selection against GN content was evaluated in elite Virginia Tech winter barley germplasm. In 2023, all 176 elite breeding lines screened for presence of GN were shown to be GN producers. A subset of 95 lines was then quantitatively measured for GN concentration to determine the genetic variability for the trait. Efficacy of genomic selection for GN was first assessed using a divergent selection approach on the remaining 81 predicted lines. The highest 16 and lowest 16 of the predicted lines were chosen for GN quantification. A significant phenotypic difference was found between the predicted high and low group means (0.8 ppm; P = 0.003). An additional 120 lines were quantified the following year to determine repeatability. GN exhibited moderate narrow-sense heritability (h2 = 0.42) and a high genetic correlation (r = 0.79) across years. Moderate predictive ability as was observed in cross-validation (range 0.38 - 0.61), and forward prediction using 2023 to predict 2024 (r = 0.39). A genome-wide scan did not identify any major-effect loci, suggesting GN content is polygenic, thus enabling same-season genomic selection to reduce GN content in this germplasm.