Tropical rainforest versus savannah: Biome-specific landscape structure mediates adaptive strategies and resilience to environmental change

Abstract

As ecosystems face rapid environmental change, understanding the interplay between landscape structure, genetic diversity, and adaptive potential is critical for predicting resilience. We investigated how biome-specific connectivity and environmental heterogeneity mediate adaptive strategies and resilience in the tropical rainbowfish (Melanotaenia splendida splendida) across contrasting rainforest and savannah ecosystems in tropical Australia. Using an integrative framework combining genomic, morphological, and environmental analyses, we inferred that hydroclimatic variation has been a key driver of genetic and phenotypic divergence. Rainforest populations exhibited strong local adaptation to fragmented, stable environments, while savannah populations showed less genomic differentiation and morphological divergence, patterns consistent with weaker local adaptation. We hypothesise that greater reliance on phenotypic plasticity may facilitate adaptive responses in savannah populations, reflecting their exposure to more connected and variable environments. Variance partitioning highlighted the contrasting roles of neutral and adaptive processes across biomes, with implications for managing resilience in freshwater systems under climate change. Our findings underscore the trade-offs between connectivity, local adaptation, and plasticity, providing a model for understanding adaptation and resilience across diverse ecosystems.