Addressing reverse inference in structural brain alterations

Abstract

In neuroimaging with reverse inferences we can infer the involvement of cognitive processes from certain patterns of brain activity. Still, the same reasoning holds if we substitute "brain activity" with "brain alteration" and "cognitive process" with "brain disorder". To assess the involvement of a certain alteration pattern in a brain disorder we used the Bayes factor technique on voxel-based morphometry data of schizophrenia and Alzheimers disease. This technique allows to calculate the ratio between the likelihoods of two alternative hypotheses (in our case, that the alteration of the voxel is specific for the brain disorder under scrutiny or that the alteration is not specific). We then performed temporal simulations of the alteration spread associated with different pathologies. The Bayes factor values calculated on these simulated data were able to reveal that the areas which are more specific to a certain disease are also the ones to be early altered.