Modeling the relationship between estimated foliar fungicide use and soybean yield losses due to foliar fungal diseases in the United States

Abstract

Fungicide use in the United States to manage soybean diseases has increased in recent years. The ability of fungicides to reduce disease-associated yield losses varies greatly depending on multiple factors. Nonetheless, historical data are useful to understand the broad sense and long-term trends related to fungicide use practices. In the current study, the relationship between estimated soybean yield losses due to selected foliar diseases and foliar fungicide use was investigated using annual data from 28 soybean growing states over the period of 2005 to 2015. At a national scale, a significant quadratic relationship was observed between total estimated yield losses and total fungicide use (R2 = 0.123, P < 0.0001) where yield losses initially increased, reached a plateau, and subsequently decreased with increasing fungicide use. The positive phase of the quadratic curve could be associated with insufficient amount of fungicides being used to manage targeted diseases, application of more-than-recommended prophylactic fungicides under no/low disease pressure, application of curative fungicides after economic injury level, and reduced fungicide efficacy due to a variety of factors such as unfavorable environmental conditions and resistance of targeted pathogen populations to the specific active ingredient applied. Interestingly, a significant quadratic relationship was also observed between total soybean production and total foliar fungicide use (R2= 0.36, P < 0.0001). The positive phase of the quadratic curve may suggest that factors like plant physiological changes, including increased chlorophyll content, photosynthetic rates, water use efficiency, and delayed senescence that have been widely reported to occur after application of certain foliar fungicides could have potentially contributed to enhanced yield. Therefore, the current study provides evidence of the potential usefulness of foliar fungicide applications to mitigate soybean yield losses associated with foliar diseases and their potential to positively impact soybean production/yield at national and regional scales although discrepancies to the general trends observed at national and regional scales do prevail at the local (state) level.