Modelling framework to demonstrate elimination of a vector population: tsetse elimination in Chad
John W. Hargrove, Mahamat Hisséne Mahamat, Aldjibert Moukhtar, Wilfrid Yoni, Djoukzoumka Signaboubo, Justin Darnas, Ernest Wendemanegde Salou, Iñaki Tirados, Albert Mugenyi, Priscille Barreaux, Philippe Solano, Antoine M. G. Barreaux
The paper develops a modelling framework to assess tsetse fly elimination in Chad, showing that continued sampling without detections could confirm elimination with 99% confidence.
bioRxiv · Sep 9, 2025 · PreprintEcology