R. K. Shriver

Long-term tree population growth can predict woody encroachment patterns

The paper examines tree age structures in western US woodlands and finds that tree establishment rates have mostly declined, contradicting claims of woody encroachment.

Models of underlying autotrophic biomass dynamics fit to daily river ecosystem productivity estimates improve understanding of ecosystem disturbance and resilience

The paper uses mechanistic models to infer autotrophic biomass dynamics from river productivity data, revealing disturbance thresholds and resilience patterns.

The rate of ecological acclimation is the dominant uncertainty in long-term projections of a key ecosystem service

The paper shows that uncertainty in ecosystem acclimation rates dominates projections of forage production under climate change, more than climate models or emissions scenarios.

Quantifying the demographic vulnerabilities of dry woodlands to climate and competition using range-wide monitoring data

The paper uses range-wide monitoring data to quantify how climate and competition affect recruitment, survival, and growth of two dry woodland tree species, identifying vulnerable regions under climate change.