Estimation of the transmission dynamics of H5N1 HPAI outbreak in a dairy herd using a modeling approach
Pranav Shrikant Kulkarni, Sharif S. Aly, Deniece R. Williams, Wagdy R. ElAshmawy, Pranav Pandit
This study develops a heterogeneous agent-based model to estimate HPAI transmission dynamics in dairy herds, finding an average R0 of 10.7-10.8 and prolonged outbreak duration due to cow movement between pens.
bioRxiv · Sep 23, 2026 · PreprintSystems Biology