Landscape-mediated spread dynamics and anticipatory surveillance of African swine fever in wild boar: insights from the 2025-2026 Catalonia utbreak in Spain
Jaime Bosch, Benjamín Ivorra, Cecilia Aguilar‐Vega, Satoshi Ito, Jose Manuel Sanchez Vizcaino, Angel Manuel Ramos
This study models the 2025-2026 African swine fever outbreak in Catalonia using spatial simulations to show directional spread dynamics and delayed detection patterns shaped by landscape connectivity.
bioRxiv · Jul 27, 2026 · PreprintScientific Communication & Education