Night temperature determines nearly half of wheat yield variation globally
Urs Schulthess, Matthew Paul Reynolds, Owen K. Atkin, Ernesto Giron, Senthold Asseng, Sieglinde S. Snapp
The paper examines the impact of minimum night temperatures on wheat yield variation globally, finding that Tmin explains 40-52% of yield variation, with a 1°C increase reducing yield by ~0.5 t/ha.
bioRxiv · Feb 14, 2026 · PreprintPlant Biology