bioRxivEcologyPreprint
Biodiversity trends are stronger in marine than terrestrial assemblages
Shane Blowes, Sarah Supp, Laura Antão, Amanda Bates, Helge BruelheideiD, Jon Chase, Faye Moyes, Anne Magurran, Brian McGill, Isla Myers-Smith, Marten WinteriD, Anne Bjorkman, Diana Bowler, Jarrett E.K. Byrnes, Andrew Gonzalez, Jes Hines, Forest Isbell, Holly Jones, Laetitia M. Navarro, Patrick Thompson, Mark Vellend, Conor Waldock, Maria Dornelas
Abstract
Human activities have fundamentally altered biodiversity. Extinction rates are elevated and model projections suggest drastic biodiversity declines. Yet, observed temporal trends in recent decades are highly variable, despite consistent change in species composition. Here, we uncover clear spatial patterns within this variation. We estimated trends in the richness and composition of assemblages in over 50,000 time-series, to provide the most comprehensive assessment of temporal change in biodiversity across the planet to date. The strongest, most consistent pattern shows compositional change dominated by species turnover, with marine taxa experiencing up to fourfold the variation in rates of change of terrestrial taxa. Richness change ranged from no change to richness gains or losses of ~10% per year, with tropical marine biomes experiencing the most extreme changes. Earth is undergoing a process of spatial reorganisation of species and, while few areas are unaffected, biodiversity change is consistently strongest in the oceans.
Reproducibility ledger
Nobody has reported trying to reproduce this paper yet. Did you replicate an experiment or run the code? Your report saves the next lab a week.
Sign in to file a reproducibility report.
Related papers
- The geography of the Anthropocene differs between the land and the sea
D. Bowler, A. Bjorkmann, … A. Bates·bioRxiv·Jul 9, 2019
- Attributing the variability in direction and magnitude of local-scale marine biodiversity change to human activities
Jillian C Dunic, Robin Elahi, … Jarrett E. K. Byrnes·bioRxiv·Oct 12, 2017
- Temperature-related biodiversity change across temperate marine and terrestrial systems
L. H. Antao, A. E. Bates, … A. M. Schipper·bioRxiv·Nov 26, 2019
- Space-for-time substitution reveals partial transferability of marine biodiversity-temperature relationships
Marina Costa Rillo, Lea Moeller, … Helmut Hillebrand·bioRxiv·Aug 20, 2026
- Community reorganization without collapse in a warming world: Habitat-contingent, trait-mediated biodiversity change within a conserved multi-scale structure
Masami Fujiwara, Fernando Martinez‐Andrade, … Rusty A. Feagin·bioRxiv·May 26, 2026
- Bird co-occurrences remain largely stable despite widespread biodiversity change
Melanie Tietje, Florencia Grattarola, … Petr Keil·bioRxiv·Oct 28, 2026