Species coexistence and temporal environmental fluctuations: a quantitative comparison between stochastic and seasonal variations.

Abstract

Temporal environmental variations may promote diversity in communities of competing populations. Here we compare the effect of environmental stochasticity with the effect of periodic (e.g., seasonal) cycles, using analytic solutions and individual-based Monte-Carlo simulations. Even when stochasticity facilitates coexistence it still allows for rare sequences of bad years that may drive a population to extinction, therefore the stabilizing effect of periodic variations is stronger. Correspondingly, the mean time to extinction grows exponentially with community size in periodic environment and switch to power-law dependence under stochastic fluctuations. On the other hand, the number of temporal niches in periodic environment is typically lower, so as diversity increases stochastic temporal variations may support higher species richness.