Fighting Through the Heat: How Sexual Selection Influences Demography Under Recurrent Heatwaves

Abstract

Sexual selection is a potent evolutionary force with complex effects. Strong sexual selection can enhance adaptation and reduce mutational load, while simultaneously reducing survival, or causing sexual conflict that reduces fitness for one or both sexes. Many populations today face not only gradual environmental changes but also extreme, short-term stress events like droughts or heatwaves. The combined effects of sexual and environmental selection on population demography during and after such events remain poorly understood, even though such combined effects could be crucial for the persistence of small, endangered populations under climate change. In this study, we investigated how sexual selection affects survival during environmental stress by manipulating the expression of an aggressive fighter morph in small populations of the male-dimorphic soil mite Sancassania berlesei, exposing some of these populations to recurrent periods of extreme heat and monitoring survival over eight generations. We found that heat exposure reduced survival, more severely in females than in males, and survival was lower in populations with higher fighter prevalence, but there was no interaction between temperature and fighter morph prevalence. Furthermore, survival declined across generations, and the decline was steeper in populations with lower prevalence of fighters, leading to the loss of their initial survival advantage by the last generation. T265625hree populations exposed to heat became extinct during the experiment, all from the reduced fighter expression treatment. Our findings imply that despite its cost to individual survival, sexual selection does not modulate population sensitivity to heatwaves over several generations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that these mortality costs of sexual selection are gradually compensated over successive generations, which could be a result of a more effective purging of inbreeding depression. Thus, while the additive effect of sexual selection and heatwaves on survival may increase demographic risks for bottlenecked populations in the short term, sexual selection may increase resilience of populations to prolonged bottlenecks.