Supershoes or Superhumans? A controlled analysis of sex-specific road-running performance evolution in the era of advanced footwear technology

Abstract

Advanced footwear technology (AFT) improves running economy and is widely credited with recent performance improvements in road running, with observational analyses consistently demonstrating that women have improved more than men. In contrast, laboratory studies generally report similar running economy responses to AFT in both sexes, leaving the observational-experimental divergence unresolved. A fundamental limitation of observational work is the absence of a control condition, making it impossible to separate AFT-related gains from concurrent performance trends. We addressed this by comparing performances between pre-AFT (2009-2015) and AFT (2017-2024) eras across road-running events (10km, half marathon, marathon) and throwing events (shot put, discus, javelin, hammer), the latter serving as an active control condition subject to the same broad athletic trends but unaffected by footwear technology. The top 50 performances per event, era, and sex were converted to World Athletics points and analysed using linear mixed-effects models. Performances improved significantly between eras ({beta} = 0.294, p < .001), with gains substantially larger in road running than in throwing ({beta} = 0.731, p < .001). The sex-specific pattern of improvement also differed between event categories (era x event type x sex interaction, {beta} = 0.786, p < .001): road-running improvements were greater in women than men (4.51% vs 2.62%), whereas throwing improvements did not differ by sex (0.93% vs 1.14%). These findings suggest that AFT benefits women more than men in competition, whether through a greater physiological response or more effective translation of economy gains to race performance, and suggest current laboratory protocols may be insufficiently sensitive to detect potential sex-specific effects.