Omics-informed CNV calls reduce false positive rate and improve power for CNV-trait associations

Abstract

Copy number variations (CNV) are believed to play an important role in a wide range of complex traits but discovering such associations remains challenging. Whilst whole genome sequencing (WGS) is the gold standard approach for CNV detection, there are several orders of magnitude more samples with available genotyping microarray data. Such array data can be exploited for CNV detection using dedicated software (e.g., PennCNV), however these calls suffer from elevated false positive and negative rates. In this study, we developed a CNV quality score that weights PennCNV calls (pCNV) based on their likelihood of being true positive. First, we established a measure of pCNV reliability by leveraging evidence from multiple omics data (WGS, transcriptomics and methylomics) obtained from the same samples. Next, we built a predictor of omics-confirmed pCNVs, termed omics-informed quality score (OQS), using only PennCNV software output parameters. Promisingly, OQS assigned to pCNVs detected in close family members was up to 35% higher than the OQS of pCNVs not carried by other relatives (P < 3.0-10-90), outperforming other scores. Finally, in an association study of four anthropometric traits in 89,516 Estonian Biobank samples, the use of OQS led to a relative increase in the trait variance explained by CNVs of up to 34% compared to raw pCNVs or previous quality scores. Overall, we put forward a flexible framework to improve any CNV detection method leveraging multi-omics evidence, applied it to improve PennCNV calls and demonstrated its utility by improving the statistical power for downstream association analyses.