bioRxivEcologyPreprint
Distance to future climate analogues reveals refugia for agricultural adaptation
Anna Lee JonesiD, Samuel PirononiD, Guillermo FriisiD, David GeldbachiD, James S. BorrelliD
Abstract
Future climate trends are predicted to cause a dramatic shift in the geographic distribution of global agriculture. Mapping the distance to future analogues provides a crucial measure of adaptation potential, and reveals steep slope agriculture, regions with small field sizes, and ancient centres of crop domestication have more proximal climate analogues. Drawing parallels from wild biodiversity conservation, these landscapes could play a critical role as climate refugia for agrobiodiversity.
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