MELD-Adapt: On-the-Fly Belief Updating in Integrative Molecular Dynamics

Abstract

Integrative structural biology synergizes experimental data with computational methods to elucidate the structures and interactions within biomolecules, a task that becomes critical in the absence of high-resolution structural data. A critical step in integrating the data, is knowing the expected accuracy or belief in the dataset. We previously showed that the Modeling Employing Limited Data (MELD) approach succeeds at predicting structures and finding the best interpretation of the data when the initial belief is equal or slightly lower than the real value. But, this initial belief is not known for many data sources. Here we introduce MELD-Adapt, designed to dynamically evaluate and infer the reliability of input data, thereby enhancing the accuracy of structure predictions. We demonstrate the utility of this method across different systems, particularly emphasizing its capability to correct initial assumptions and identify the correct fraction of data to produce reliable structural models. The approach is tested with two benchmark sets: the folding of twelve proteins with coarse physical insights and the binding of peptides with varying affinities to the Extrateterminal (ET) domain. Our findings also show the importance of how data is distributed in the system (locally clustered or globally distributed) and the subtle balance between data, beliefs, and force fields.