Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

How do the molecular determinants of antiviral resistance shape the dynamic of phytoplankton-virus interaction?

The paper models how antiviral resistance mechanisms in phytoplankton affect virus population dynamics, showing that bet-hedging strategies and intracellular resistance strongly reduce viral spread.

Temperature-dependent herbivore nutritional traits affect population dynamics and persistence

This study examines how temperature-dependent changes in herbivore nutrient and carbon requirements affect population dynamics and persistence in herbivore-autotroph systems.

Reinforcement Learning Reveals Spatial Strategies for Slowing Biological Invasions

This paper uses reinforcement learning to develop strategies for slowing biological invasions by optimizing spatial control efforts across heterogeneous landscapes.

Host traits predict the transient disease dynamics that occur during the loss of an alternative host

This study examines how alternative host traits affect transient disease dynamics in a two-host system as the alternative host is lost, finding nonmonotonic effects under certain conditions.

Inferring fluctuating interaction probabilities in ecological networks across environmental change

This paper develops a method to infer species interactions and environmental changes in ecological networks using mechanistic models and statistical inference, validated on synthetic and empirical data.

Modeling and Detecting Downward Causation in Disease Transmission

The paper compares the SIR model and DyMES framework to study how downward causation affects disease transmission dynamics.

When does heterogeneity average out in coarse-grained ecological communities?

The paper quantifies how species diversity affects irreducible dynamical heterogeneity in ecological communities near equilibrium.

Coupling demography and interactions reshapes the structural stability of ecological communities

This paper shows that coupling species' demography and interactions changes the structural stability of ecological communities in non-linear ways.

Host behavioral responses to perceived risk shape spatial disease dynamics

This study examines how different risk proxies affect host movement and disease transmission, finding that mismatched proxies can increase rather than decrease disease spread.

Direct and indirect effects: estimating the contributions along individual pathways during transient dynamics

The paper introduces two computational methods to estimate pathway-specific effects during transient dynamics and applies them to ecological models to understand population-level dynamics.