F. P. N. Lopes

Modeling the role of mortality-based response triggers on the effectiveness of African swine fever control strategies

This paper models ASF control strategies by analyzing how mortality-based triggers affect epidemic duration and spread, showing that backward movement tracking outperforms ring quarantine zones.

Quantifying the dynamics of pig movements improves targeted disease surveillance and control plans

This study uses temporal pig movement data to model disease spread and shows targeting high-degree farms reduces epidemic size significantly.