Nik J. Cunniffe

Trade-offs between eradication and containment for emerging plant disease outbreaks: insights from a model of citrus Huanglongbing in the European Union

This study evaluates eradication and containment strategies for citrus Huanglongbing using a spatial model, finding that two-phase strategies balance disease control and agricultural impact.

Fitting a lattice model with local and global transmission to spread of a plant disease

The paper fits a lattice-based mathematical model to experimental data on citrus disease spread, showing it predicts near-neighbour infections and matches a dispersal-kernel model.

Developing epidemiological preparedness for a plant disease invasion: modelling citrus huanglongbingin the European Union

The paper develops an epidemiological model to predict citrus huanglongbing spread in the EU, finding that eradication is unlikely but management strategies could sustain production.

Optimal Control Prevents Itself from Eradicating Stochastic Disease Epidemics

This paper shows that deterministic optimal control strategies are insufficient for eradicating stochastic disease epidemics and proposes heuristics that outperform Model Predictive Control in such scenarios.