Stephen Parnell

This paper quantifies the sensitivity and specificity of visual plant health surveys using citizen scientists and Bayesian modeling to estimate these metrics without a gold-standard dataset.

This paper models the effectiveness of Integrated Pest Management (IPM) strategies for controlling Septoria tritici blotch in wheat, finding that IPM can achieve comparable disease control and yields to fungicides, with benefits increasing with wider adoption.

The paper develops an epidemiological model to predict citrus huanglongbing spread in the EU, finding that eradication is unlikely but management strategies could sustain production.