Michael J. Tildesley

A spatial transmission model for evaluating interventions during highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks

The paper evaluates control measures for avian influenza outbreaks using a spatial transmission model, showing that intervention effectiveness varies with outbreak stage and policy objectives.

The role of ducks in detecting Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in small-scale backyard poultry farms

This study simulates H5N1 spread in mixed-species backyard flocks to show ducks increase outbreak risk and infection burden due to asymptomatic carriage.

A modelling assessment for the impact of control measures on highly pathogenic avian influenza transmission in poultry in Great Britain

This study models the impact of control measures on HPAI H5N1 transmission in poultry in Great Britain, finding that enhanced biosecurity and vaccination can reduce infected premises.

Quantifying vector diversion effects in zoonotic systems: A modelling framework for arbovirus transmission between reservoir and dead-end hosts

The paper develops a mathematical model to quantify vector diversion effects in zoonotic systems, showing how vector control interventions can impact transmission dynamics across host populations.

Impacts of disease surveillance frequency on understanding and controlling Rift Valley fever virus

This study shows that less frequent disease surveillance leads to greater uncertainty in understanding and controlling Rift Valley fever outbreaks.

Allocating Limited Surveillance Effort for Outbreak Detection of Endemic Foot and Mouth Disease

This study evaluates three sentinel surveillance strategies for detecting FMD outbreaks in Turkey, finding that all methods detect more outbreaks than random sampling, with spatial and network connectivity methods performing similarly.

Modelling the influence of climate and vector control interventions on arbovirus transmission

This paper develops a mathematical model integrating climate and vector control to predict arbovirus transmission, showing AHSV has higher vectorial capacity than BTV, SBV, and EHDV but similar basic reproduction number due to shorter infectious period.

A systematic review quantifying host feeding patterns of Culicoides species responsible for pathogen transmission

This study quantifies host feeding patterns of Culicoides species, finding some exhibit fixed preferences while others are opportunistic, with geographic variations influencing behavior.