Quantifying the linkages between California sea lion (Zalophus californianus) strandings and particulate domoic acid concentrations at piers across Southern California

Domoic acid producing blooms of the diatom genus Pseudo-nitzschia are pervasive in coastal environments globally. Domoic acid, a neurotoxin, accumulates via trophic transfer into marine food webs and are often associated with mass marine mammal mortality and stranding events. In Southern California, California sea lions (Zalophus californiaus) are an indicator species for food web impacts of domoic acid because they are abundant secondary consumers, sensitive to domoic acid intoxication, and are actively monitored by stranding networks. However, domoic acid exposure may occur a distance from where a sea lion ultimately strands. This spatiotemporal variation complicates coupling domoic acid observations in water to strandings. Therefore, we sought to quantify whether monitoring data from four pier sites across the region, covering nearly 700 km of coastline from 2015-2019, could be used to predict adult and subadult sea lion strandings along the 68 km Orange County coastline surveyed by the Pacific Marine Mammal Center. We found that increased sea lion strandings were often observed just prior to an increase in particulate domoic acid at the piers, confirming that clusters of subadult and adult sea lion strandings with clinical signs of domoic acid intoxication a serve as indicators of bloom events. In addition, domoic acid concentrations at Stearns Wharf, nearly 200 km from stranding locations, best predicted increased total sea lion strandings, and strandings of sea lions with domoic acid intoxication symptoms. Particulate domoic acid concentrations greater than 0.05 g/L at Stearns Wharf led to a detectable increase in stranding probability in Orange County, and concentrations over 0.25 g/L resulted in a nearly 1.6-fold increase in stranding probabilities for a given week.