Molecular Epidemiology and Diversity of SARS-CoV-2 in Ethiopia, 2020-2022
Abay SisayiD, Derek TshiabuilaiD, Abraham TesfayeiD, Gerald MboowaiD, Samuel O. OyolaiD, Sofonias Kifle TessemaiD, Cheryl BaxteriD, Darren MartiniD, Richard J. LessellsiD, Houriiyah TegallyiD, Stephanie van WykiD, Monika MoiriD, Jennifer GiandhariiD, Sureshnee PillayiD, Lavanya SinghiD, Yajna Ramphal, Arisha MaharajiD, Yusasha PillayiD, Akhil Maharaj, Yeshnee NaidooiD, Upasana RamphaliD, Lucious ChabukaiD, Eduan WilkinsoniD, Túlio de OliveiraiD, Adey Feleke Desta, James Emmanuel SaniD
Abstract
Ethiopia is the second most populous country in Africa and the sixth most affected by COVID-19 on the continent. Despite having experienced five infection waves, >499 000 cases, and [~]7 500 COVID-19-related deaths as of January 2023, there is still no detailed genomic epidemiological report on the introduction and spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Ethiopia. In this study, we reconstructed and elucidated the COVID-19 epidemic dynamics. Specifically, we investigated the introduction, local transmission, ongoing evolution, and spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the first four infection waves using 353 high-quality near-whole genomes sampled in Ethiopia. Our results show that whereas viral introductions seeded the first wave, subsequent waves were seeded by local transmission. The B.1.480 lineage emerged in the first wave and notably remained in circulation even after the emergence of the Alpha variant. The B.1.480 was out-competed by the Delta variant. Notably, Ethiopias lack of local sequencing capacity was further limited by sporadic, uneven, and insufficient sampling that limited the incorporation of genomic epidemiology in the epidemic public health response in Ethiopia. These results highlight Ethiopias role in SARS-CoV-2 dissemination and the urgent need for balanced, near-real-time genomic sequencing.
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