Sedimentary ancient DNA shows terrestrial plant richness continuously increased over the Holocene in northern Fennoscandia

Abstract

The effects of climate change on species richness is debated but can be informed by the past. Here, we assess the impact of Holocene climate changes and nutrients on terrestrial plant richness across multiple sites from northern Fennoscandia using new sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) data quality control methods. We find that richness increased steeply during the rapidly warming Early Holocene. In contrast to findings from most pollen studies, we show that richness continued to increase through the Middle to Late Holocene even though temperature decreased, with the regional species pool only stabilizing during the last two millennia. Furthermore, overall increase in richness was greater in catchments with higher soil nutrient availability. We suggest that richness will rapidly increase with ongoing warming, especially at localities with high nutrient availability and even in the absence of increased human activity in the region, although delays of millennia may be expected.