Territory acquisition mediates the influence of predators and climate on juvenile red squirrel survival

1) Juvenile survival to first breeding is a key life history stage. Survival through this period can be particularly challenging when it coincides with harsh environmental conditions like winter climate or food scarcity, and so cohort survival can be highly variable. However, the small size and dispersive nature of juveniles makes studying their survival difficult.\n2) In territorial species, a key life history event is the acquisition of a territory. A territory is expected to enhance survival, but how it does so, possibly through mediating mortality, is not often identified. We tested how the timing of territory acquisition influenced the survival of juvenile North American red squirrels Tamiasciurus hudsonicus, hereafter red squirrels, and how the timing of this event mediated sources of mortality. We hypothesized that securing a territory prior to the caching season would reduce juvenile susceptibility to predation or climatic factors over winter.\n3) Using 27 years of data on the survival of individually-marked juvenile red squirrels, we tested how the timing of territory acquisition influenced survival, whether the population density of red squirrel predators and mean temperature over winter were related to individual survival probability, and if territory ownership mediated these effects.\n4) Juvenile survival was lower in years of high predator abundance and in colder winters. Autumn territory owners were less susceptible to lynx Lynx canadensis, and possibly mustelid Mustela and Martes spp., predation. Autumn territory owners had lower survival in colder winters, while non-owners had higher survival in cold winters.\n5) Our results show how the timing of a life history event like territory acquisition can directly affect survival and also mediate the effects of biotic and abiotic factors later in life. This engenders a better understanding of the fitness consequences of the timing of key life history events.