Association between land use, land cover, plant genera, and pollinator abundance in mixed-use landscapes

Pollinators are globally threatened by land-use change, but its effect varies depending on the taxa and the intensity of habitat degradation. However, pollinator-landscape studies typically focus on regions of intensive human activities and on a few focal species. Evaluating pollinator responses in landscapes with moderate land-use changes and on multiple pollinator groups would therefore fill an important knowledge gap. This study aims to determine the predictive capacity and effect of habitat characteristics on the relative abundance of multiple pollinator groups in mixed-use landscapes. To do this, we collected field data on the relative abundance of nectivorous birds, bees, beetles, and butterflies across the Tasman Peninsula (Tasmania, Australia). We then applied Random Forests to resolve the effects of land use (protected areas, plantation, and pasture), land cover at different radii (100 m and 2000 m), and plant genera on pollinator abundance. Overall, land cover and plant genera were more important predictors of pollinator abundance than land use. And the effect of land use, land cover, and plant genera varied depending on the pollinating group. Pollinator groups were associated with a range of plant genera, with the native genera Acacia, Leptospermum, Leucopogon, Melaleuca, Pomaderris, and Pultenaea being among the most important predictors. Our results highlight that one size does not fit all--that is pollinator response to different landscape characteristics vary, emphasise the importance of considering multiple habitat factors to manage and support a dynamic pollinator community, and demonstrates how land management can be informed using predictive modelling.