Dispersal limitation and thermodynamic constraints govern spatial structure of permafrost microbial communities

Understanding drivers of permafrost microbial community composition is critical for understanding permafrost microbiology and predicting ecosystem responses to thaw, however studies describing ecological controls on these communities are lacking. We hypothesize that permafrost communities are uniquely shaped by constraints imposed by prolonged freezing, and decoupled from factors that influence non-permafrost soil communities. To test this hypothesis, we characterized patterns of environmental variation and microbial community composition in permafrost across an Alaskan boreal forest landscape. We used null modeling to estimate the relative importance of selective and neutral assembly processes on community composition, and identified environmental factors influencing ecological selection through regression and structural equation modeling (SEM). Proportionally, the strongest process influencing community composition was dispersal limitation (0.36), exceeding the influence of homogenous selection (0.21), variable selection (0.16), and homogenizing dispersal (0.05). Fe(II) content was the most important factor explaining variable selection, and was significantly associated with total selection by univariate regression (R2=0.14, p=0.003). SEM supported a model in which Fe(II) content mediated influences of the Gibbs free energy of the organic matter pool and organic acid concentration on total selection. These findings reveal that the processes shaping microbial communities in permafrost are distinct from those in non-permafrost soils, as the stability of the permafrost environment imposes dispersal and thermodynamic constraints on permafrost communities. Models of permafrost community composition will need to account for these unique drivers in order to predict community characteristics across permafrost landscapes, and in efforts to understand how pre-thaw conditions will influence post-thaw ecological and biogeochemical processes.