Molecule-resolved inference reveals the spatial organization of transcriptional programs

Transcriptional programs encode cellular identity and physiological activity, linking gene regulation to cellular phenotypes. Although spatial transcriptomics measures individual RNA molecules across intact tissues, most analyses aggregate them into cells or pixels, obscuring molecular level functional dynamics. We introduce FICTURE2, a statistical model that infers the transcriptional program from which each individual molecule is generated, using gene identity and spatial context alone without segmentation or binning. FICTURE2 learns programs with distinct spatial distributions, ranging from millimeter-scale continuous transition to micron-scale subcellular localization, the coexisting patterns of which then reveal both cellular identity and physiological activity with unified interpretations. FICTURE2 supports both unsupervised and reference-guided inference and is orders of magnitude more efficient than alternative approaches, enabling systematic analysis of large-scale spatial datasets as we demonstrate in data across diverse tissue types profiled by various spatial technologies.