Rare and common vertebrates span a wide spectrum of population trends
Abstract
The Earths biota is changing over time in complex ways. A critical challenge is to test whether specific biomes, taxa or types of species benefit or suffer in a time of accelerating global change. We analysed nearly 10 000 abundance time series from over 2000 vertebrate species part of the Living Planet Database. We integrated abundance data with information on geographic range, habitat preference, taxonomic and phylogenetic relationships, and IUCN Red List Categories and threats. We found that 15% of populations declined, 18% increased, and 67% showed no net changes over time. Against a backdrop of no biogeographic and phylogenetic patterning in population change, we uncovered a distinct taxonomic signal. Amphibians were the only taxa that experienced net declines in the analysed data, while birds, mammals and reptiles experienced net increases. Population trends were poorly captured by species rarity and global-scale threats. Incorporation of the full spectrum of population change will improve conservation efforts to protect global biodiversity.
02 /Specification & Classification
Click any tag to browse matching papersReproducibility ledger
Nobody has reported trying to reproduce this paper yet. Did you replicate an experiment or run the code? Your report saves the next lab a week.
Sign in to file a reproducibility report.
Related papers
- Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss
Pol Capdevila, Duncan A. O’Brien, … Christopher F. Clements·Science AdvancesPeer-reviewed·Feb 11, 2026
- Body mass and latitude as global predictors of vertebrate populations exposure to multiple threats
P. Capdevila, N. Noviello, … C. F. Clements·bioRxiv·Feb 4, 2022
- Assessing the global impact of targeted conservation actions on species abundance
S. Jellesmark, T. M. Blackburn, … M. Hoffmann·bioRxiv·Jan 14, 2022
- Biodiversity trends are stronger in marine than terrestrial assemblages
Shane Blowes, Sarah Supp, … Maria Dornelas·bioRxiv·Oct 30, 2018
- How much data do we need? Reliability and data deficiency in global vertebrate biodiversity trends
S. Dove, M. Bohm, … D. J. Murrell·bioRxiv·Mar 18, 2023
- Vertebrates do not display consistent declines in abundance or stability with contemporary range or realized climate niche centrality
J. A. Britnell, Thomas F. Johnson, … Christopher F. Clements·bioRxiv·Oct 22, 2026