A hierarchical watershed model of fluid intelligence in childhood and adolescence

Fluid intelligence is the capacity to solve novel problems in the absence of task-specific knowledge, and is highly predictive of outcomes like educational attainment and psychopathology. Here, we modelled the neurocognitive architecture of fluid intelligence in two cohorts: CALM (N = 551, aged 5 - 17 years) and NKI-RS (N = 335, aged 6 - 17 years). We used multivariate Structural Equation Modelling to test a preregistered watershed model of fluid intelligence. This model predicts that white matter contributes to intermediate cognitive phenotypes, like working memory and processing speed, which, in turn, contribute to fluid intelligence. We found that this model performed well for both samples and explained large amounts of variance in fluid intelligence (R2CALM = 51.2%, R2NKI-RS = 78.3%). The relationship between cognitive abilities and white matter differed with age, showing a dip in strength around ages 7 - 12 years. This age-effect may reflect a reorganization of the neurocognitive architecture around pre- and early puberty. Overall, these findings highlight that intelligence is part of a complex hierarchical system of partially independent effects.