Estimation of Species Abundance Based on the Number of Segregating Sites using Environmental DNA (eDNA)

The advance of environmental DNA (eDNA) has enabled rapid and non-invasive species detection in aquatic environments. Although most studies focus on species detections, some recent studies explored the potential of using eDNA concentration to quantify species abundance. However, the differential individual DNA contribution to eDNA samples could easily obscure the concentration-species abundance relationship. We propose using the number of segregating sites as a proxy for estimating species abundance. Since segregating sites reflects the genetic diversity of the population, which is less sensitive to differential individual DNA contribution than eDNA concentration. We examined the relationship between the number of segregating sites and species abundance in silico, in vitro, and in situ using two brackish goby species, Acanthogobius hasta and Tridentiger bifasciatus. Analyses of the simulated data and in vitro data with DNA mixed from a known number of individuals showed a strong correlation between the number of segregating sites and species abundance (R2 > 0.9; P 0.05). Results of the cross-validation test also showed that the number of segregating sites predicted species abundance with less bias and variability than the eDNA concentration. Overall, the number of segregating sites correlates stronger with species abundance and also provides a better estimate than eDNA concentration. This advancement can significantly enhance the quantitative capabilities of eDNA technology.