kinference: Pairwise kinship detection for Close-Kin Mark-Recapture

Abstract

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWClose-Kin Mark-Recapture (CKMR) is a statistical framework for estimating demographic parameters of wild populations. Instead of recapturing individuals, it relies on the identification of closely-related pairs such as parents and offspring, or siblings. By measuring how often such close-kin are "recaptured" among sampled animals (whether alive or dead), scientists can estimate demographic parameters such as census size, mortality rates, and connectivity. CKMR is starting to change fisheries and wildlife management by giving more reliable demographic information, even for many species that resist conventional approaches. Here we introduce the kinference R package, which provides a set of tools for finding close-kin pairs among thousands of samples each genotyped at thousands of SNPs, and for associated quality control. The CKMR context implies different requirements and assumptions to many other kinship programs. In particular, kinference accounts empirically for linkage without requiring a genome assembly, is able to estimate and control false-negative and false-positive probabilities, and can cope with null alleles. The package has been developed and used in numerous CKMR projects since 2017. This paper documents the assumptions, statistical algorithms, and intended workflow for kinference.