Planning horizon affects prophylactic decision-making and epidemic dynamics
Luis G. Nardin, Craig R. Miller, Benjamin J. Ridenhour, Stephen M. Krone, Paul Joyce, Bert O. Baumgaertner
This study shows that intermediate planning horizons lead to prophylactic behavior adoption, which reduces epidemic peak size but prolongs the epidemic and may cause secondary waves.
bioRxiv · Aug 12, 2016Epidemiology