Time-lagged causal inference corroborates presumed drivers of North Atlantic seabird ecology
Duncan A. O’Brien, Kate Layton‐Matthews, Pol Capdevila, Hannah S. Wauchope, Annette L. Fayet, Tycho Anker‐Nilssen, Manuel Ballesteros, Ingar S. Bringsvor, Signe Christensen‐Dalsgaard, Nina Dehnhard, Sébastien Descamps, Kjell Einar Erikstad, Kevin Hodges, Svein‐Håkon Lorentsen, Tone Kristin Reiertsen, , Christopher F. Clements
The paper uses time-lagged causal inference to show climate and anthropogenic factors reduce seabird breeding success and population size, with delayed recruitment effects contributing to declines.
bioRxiv · Jul 31, 2026 · PreprintEcology