Spatio-temporal machine learning for multi-horizon prediction of bluetongue outbreaks
Lucy M Devlin, Phi Hung Nguyen, Ross N. Cuthbert, Ngoc Phu Doan, Viet Hung Tran, Zichi Zhang, Archie Kelso Murchie, Connor Bamford, Jaimie T. A. Dick, Eric Rene Morgan, Thai S. Mai
This paper develops a machine learning framework to predict bluetongue outbreaks up to six months in advance using climate and surveillance data, achieving strong performance across three European countries.
bioRxiv · May 24, 2026 · PreprintEcology