Simon Croft

Temporal variation in demography of temperate bats: consequences for population dynamics and disease

This study models how demographic variation affects bat population dynamics and disease spread, finding that increased variation in survival rates can lead to population decline and reduced disease persistence.

Predicting the distribution of common wild mammal species across Europe - are there sufficient occurrence data?

The paper assesses the adequacy of occurrence data for predicting the distribution of common wild mammal species across Europe and identifies data gaps.

Using correlative and mechanistic species distribution models to predict vector-borne disease risk for the current and future environmental and climatic change: a case study of West Nile Virus in the UK.

This study predicts future West Nile Virus risk in the UK by combining species distribution models of vectors, hosts, and climate scenarios.

Predicting West Nile Virus risk across Europe for the current and future conditions

This study predicts West Nile Virus risk across Europe using species distribution modeling, showing increased risk in some areas and decreased risk in others under future climate scenarios.