Samuel A. Matthews

CoralBlox is a computationally efficient coral ecology model that supports rapid scenario exploration and decision making for reef management.

The paper assesses coral reef resilience on the Great Barrier Reef under climate change scenarios, finding that depth, not larval connectivity, is the key factor in maintaining positive carbonate budgets.

Eco-evolutionary simulations of 3,806 Great Barrier Reef reefs project coral cover falling to ∼14% by 2040 under every emission scenario; recovery afterwards needs warming below 2°C.