EcologybioRxivPreprint
Disaggregation Regression and Multi-Model Evaluation for Predicting Dengue Risk in Africa
Jenicca Poongavanan, Tim C. D. Lucas, Gaspary Mwanyika…·Houriiyah Tegally
This paper uses disaggregation regression to predict dengue incidence in Africa from aggregated data, showing better alignment with reported cases than environmental suitability models.
DOI 10.1101/2025.06.17.660069