An adaptive filtering framework for non-specific and inefficient reactions in multiplex digital PCR based on sigmoidal trends

Abstract

Real-time digital PCR (qdPCR) coupled with artificial intelligence has shown the potential of unlocking scientific breakthroughs, particularly in the field of molecular diagnostics for infectious diseases. One of the most promising applications is the use of machine learning (ML) methods to enable single fluorescent channel PCR multiplex by extracting target-specific kinetic and thermodynamic information contained in amplification curves. However, the robustness of such methods can be affected by the presence of undesired amplification events and nonideal reaction conditions. Therefore, here we proposed a novel framework to filter non-specific and low efficient reactions from qdPCR data using outlier detection algorithms purely based on sigmoidal trends of amplification curves. As a proof-of-concept, this framework is implemented to improve the classification performance of the recently reported ML-based Amplification Curve Analysis (ACA), using available data from a previous publication where the ACA method was used to screen carbapenemase-producing organisms in clinical isolates. Furthermore, we developed a novel strategy, named Adaptive Mapping Filter (AMF), to consider the variability of positive counts in digital PCR. Over 152,000 amplification events were analyzed. For the positive reactions, filtered and unfiltered amplification curves were evaluated by comparing against melting peak distribution, proving that abnormalities (filtered out data) are linked to shifted melting distribution or decreased PCR efficiency. The ACA was applied to compare classification accuracies before and after AMF, showing an improved sensitivity of 1.18% for inliers and 20% for outliers (p-value < 0.0001). This work explores the correlation between kinetics of amplification curves and thermodynamics of melting curves and it demonstrates that filtering out non-specific or low efficient reactions can significantly improve the classification accuracy for cutting edge multiplexing methodologies.