PRANA: A Deep Learning Method for Adapting Polygenic Risk Scores to Diverse Ethnic Groups
Hagai LeviiD, Qin Wang, Manjeet K. BollaiD, Joe DennisiD, Irene L. AndrulisiD, Natalia Antonenkova, Chun Hang AuiD, Annelie AugustinssoniD, Laura E. Beane FreemaniD, Sabine BehrensiD, Marina BermishevaiD, Clara BodelóniD, Natalia Viktorovna BogdanovaiD, Stig E. BojeseniD, Hermann BrenneriD, Ian Wallace Brock, Thomas BrüningiD, Helen Byers, Nicola J. CampiD, Jose Esteban CastelaoiD, Ji-Yeob ChoiiD, Wendy K. ChungiD, NBCS Collaborators, Sarah Violet ColonnaiD, Fergus J. CouchiD, , Kyriaki MichailidouiD
Abstract
Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), which quantify inherited susceptibility to complex traits and diseases, have emerged as valuable tools for risk stratification and precision medicine. Despite their promise, PRS developed on European cohorts often demonstrate substantially reduced predictive accuracy in non-European populations, due to differences in genetic architecture. The disproportionate representation of European ancestry cohorts in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) leads to inequitable deployment of PRS technologies across diverse populations. Here, we introduce PRANA (Polygenic Risk Adaptation via Neural-network Architecture), a deep learning framework that adapts an existing PRS developed on one population to other ancestries. Unlike methods that require large-scale GWAS in the target population, PRANA leverages pre-trained PRS models derived from European cohorts and adapts them using modestly sized cohorts from the target population. We evaluated PRANA on seven complex traits in South Asian, East Asian and Ashkenazi Jewish populations, as well as in selected smaller East Asian subpopulations where the scarcity of training data poses a particular challenge. PRANA mostly improved predictive performance of the baseline PRS models by 5%-20% in terms of effect size ({beta}) and Nagelkerkes R{superscript 2}, and, in most cases, outperformed existing cross-ancestry multi-PRS approaches. These results highlight PRANA as a scalable and practical strategy to reduce disparities in genomic risk prediction and advance the equitable application of PRS in diverse populations.
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