LinearTurboFold: Linear-Time Global Prediction of Conserved Structures for RNA Homologs with Applications to SARS-CoV-2

The constant emergence of COVID-19 variants reduces the effectiveness of existing vaccines and test kits. Therefore, it is critical to identify conserved structures in SARS-CoV-2 genomes as potential targets for variant-proof diagnostics and therapeutics. However, the algorithms to predict these conserved structures, which simultaneously fold and align multiple RNA homologs, scale at best cubically with sequence length, and are thus infeasible for coronaviruses, which possess the longest genomes ([~]30,000 nt) among RNA viruses. As a result, existing efforts on modeling SARS-CoV-2 structures resort to single sequence folding as well as local folding methods with short window sizes, which inevitably neglect long-range interactions that are crucial in RNA functions. Here we present LinearTurboFold, an efficient algorithm for folding RNA homologs that scales linearly with sequence length, enabling unprecedented global structural analysis on SARS-CoV-2. Surprisingly, on a group of SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-related genomes, LinearTurbo-Folds purely in silico prediction not only is close to experimentally-guided models for local structures, but also goes far beyond them by capturing the end-to-end pairs between 5 and 3 UTRs ([~]29,800 nt apart) that match perfectly with a purely experimental work. Furthermore, LinearTurboFold identifies novel conserved structures and conserved accessible regions as potential targets for designing efficient and mutation-insensitive small-molecule drugs, antisense oligonucleotides, siRNAs, CRISPR-Cas13 guide RNAs and RT-PCR primers. LinearTurboFold is a general technique that can also be applied to other RNA viruses and full-length genome studies, and will be a useful tool in fighting the current and future pandemics. Significance StatementConserved RNA structures are critical for designing diagnostic and therapeutic tools for many diseases including COVID-19. However, existing algorithms are much too slow to model the global structures of full-length RNA viral genomes. We present LinearTurboFold, a linear-time algorithm that is orders of magnitude faster, making it the first method to simultaneously fold and align whole genomes of SARS-CoV-2 variants, the longest known RNA virus ([~]30 kilobases). Our work enables unprecedented global structural analysis and captures long-range interactions that are out of reach for existing algorithms but crucial for RNA functions. LinearTurboFold is a general technique for full-length genome studies and can help fight the current and future pandemics.