An ABA-GA bistable switch can account for natural variation in the variability of Arabidopsis seed germination time

Genetically identical plants growing in the same conditions can display heterogeneous phenotypes. Whether this phenotypic variability is functional and the mechanisms behind it are unclear. Here we use Arabidopsis seed germination time as a model system to examine phenotypic variability. We show extensive variation in seed germination time variability between Arabidopsis accessions, and use a multi-parent recombinant inbred population to identify two loci involved in this trait. Both loci include genes implicated in ABA signalling that could contribute to seed germination variability. Modelling reveals that the GA/ABA bistable switch underlying germination can amplify variability and account for the effects of these two loci on germination distributions. The model predicts the effects of modulating ABA and GA levels, which we validate genetically and by exogenous addition of hormones. We confirm that germination variability could act as a bet hedging strategy, by allowing a fraction of seeds to survive lethal stress.