Early life adversity is associated with mental health and life histories through short-term mindsets

Early life adversity is associated with increased risk for psychopathology and shifts in life history (LH) strategies, but the psychological mechanisms underlying these associations remain unclear. Drawing on evolutionary-developmental theory, we examined whether short-term mindsets mediate associations between dimensions of childhood adversity and mental health and LH-related outcomes. In a UK-representative sample of 877 adults, we assessed threat, deprivation, and unpredictability, alongside internalizing and externalizing symptoms, borderline features, and a latent factor capturing reproductive versus somatic maintenance effort. Structural equation models showed that adversity predicted poorer mental health and faster LH strategies. Short-term mindsets, indexed by lower future orientation and higher affective impulsivity, mediated effects of adversity, particularly unpredictability. Further decomposition of unpredictability into short-timescale and long-timescale forms revealed dissociable effects, with short-timescale unpredictability primarily linked to psychopathology and long-timescale unpredictability to reproductive-oriented LH strategies.