M. Brush

Modeling Mountain Pine Beetle Abundance and Distribution in a Changing Climate

This study models mountain pine beetle outbreaks under climate change, finding increased infestation probability and numbers with rising temperatures.

Eruptive insect outbreaks from endemic populations under climate change

The paper presents a mechanistic model of mountain pine beetle population dynamics, showing how climate change can shift parameters to eliminate endemic equilibria and trigger outbreaks.

Characterizing the speed and severity of mountain pine beetle spread under climate change with a mechanistic model

The paper uses a mechanistic model to simulate mountain pine beetle spread under climate change, finding faster and more severe outbreaks in the future.

Mountain pine beetle spread in forests with varying host resistance

This study models mountain pine beetle spread, showing that host resistance can stop outbreaks and that jack pine may be a suitable host.

Coupling mountain pine beetle and forest population dynamics predicts transient outbreaks that are likely to increase in number with climate change

This study couples mountain pine beetle and forest dynamics to predict climate-driven transient outbreaks and their increasing frequency with reduced forest resilience.