Residue burial encodes a protein's fold

Protein structure is controlled by a high-dimensional energy landscape, which is a function of all of the atomic coordinates of the protein. Can this landscape be accurately described by a low-dimensional representation? We find that residue core identity, a binary N-dimensional encoding indicating whether each of the N amino acids in a protein is buried in the core or not, can predict the proteins backbone conformation more efficiently than all other representations that we tested. Core identity is 4 times more efficient than previous estimates of the bits per residue needed to encode a proteins native fold, 2 times more efficient than the C contact map, and 1.5 times more efficient than the machine-learned embeddings from FoldSeeks 3Di. Even when the folded structure is unavailable, predicting each residues burial from sequence yields a more accurate estimate of fold quality than predicting pairwise contacts from the same sequence information. Thus, this work emphasizes that the problem of determining a proteins native fold can be re-framed as predicting each residues core identity.