Phylogenetic Analysis of St. Louis Encephalitis Virus within Two Southwestern United State Counties: a case for a bulk introduction event into the southwest United States

Abstract

St. Louis Encephalitis Virus (SLEV) has been seasonally detected within the Culex spp. populations within Maricopa County, Arizona and Coachella Valley, California since an outbreak in Maricopa County in 2015. Previous work revealed that the outbreak was caused by an importation of SLEV genotype III, which had only been detected within Argentina in prior years. However, little is known about when the importation occurred or the population dynamics since its arrival into the southwestern United States. In this study, we wanted to determine if the annual detection of SLEV in Maricopa and Riverside counties is due to enzootic cycling or new importations. To address this question, we analyzed 143 SLEV genomes (138 sequenced as part of this study) using the Bayesian phylogenetic analysis software, BEAST, to estimate the date of arrival into the American Southwest and characterize the underlying population structure of SLEV. Phylogenetic clustering showed that SLEV variants circulating in Arizona and California form two distinct populations with little evidence of transmission among the two populations since the onset of the outbreak. Interestingly, the SLEV variants in Coachella Valley appear to be annually imported from a nearby source, whereas the Arizona population is locally sourced each year. Finally, the earliest representatives of SLEV genotype III in the southwestern US formed a polytomy that includes both California and Arizona samples. We propose that the initial outbreak could have resulted from an introductory population of SLEV, perhaps in one or more bird flocks migrating north in 2013, rather than a single variant introduced by one bird.